Tropical Sea Temperatures
Current US IR Satellite Loop
Atlantic/Gulf of Mexico/Caribbean
000
ABNT20 KNHC 100517
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Aug 10 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Central Tropical Atlantic:
A broad area of showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical
wave is located about midway between the coast of west Africa and
the Lesser Antilles. Some gradual development of this wave is
possible through mid-week while it moves quickly westward across the
central tropical Atlantic. Upper-level winds are expected to become
less conducive for development later in the week when the system
approaches the Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A small area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of
the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. As this system moves slowly westward, a tropical
wave currently over west Africa is expected to merge with it in a
couple of days. Environmental conditions are forecast to be more
conducive for development by midweek, and a tropical depression
could form during the latter half of this week while the system
moves westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
Western Subtropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles northwest of
Bermuda is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
Some development of this system is possible during the next couple
of days while it moves quickly eastward, well to the north of
Bermuda across the western and central subtropical Atlantic. The
system is forecast to reach cooler waters later this week, ending
its chances of formation after Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 10 Aug 2026 07:00:09 GMT
Eastern Pacific
078
ABPZ20 KNHC 100530
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sun Aug 9 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Central Pacific (CP93):
A broad area of low pressure located about 1100 miles east-southeast
of the Hawaiian Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms and is nearly stationary. Environmental conditions
are forecast to be conducive for further development, and a tropical
depression is expected to form by mid-week as the system begins
moving west-northwestward or northwestward across the Central
Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
Western East Pacific:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is located
well to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California Peninsula. Environmental conditions appear favorable
enough for some gradual development, and a tropical depression could
form during the next few days while the system moves slowly
west-northwestward to northwestward across the western portion of
the East Pacific.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
Southwest of Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula
are associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions
appear marginally conducive for slow development during the next day
or two as it moves west-northwestward at around 15 mph. By late
Tuesday, the system is expected to reach an area of strong
upper-level winds, ending its chances for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 10 Aug 2026 07:00:09 GMT
